What Phil Jones really said about global warming
By Yael T. Abouhalkah, Kansas City Star Editorial Page columnist
What did climate scientist Phil Jones say to get the global warming deniers all, well, hot and bothered?
The Daily Mail has a story with this erroneous headline getting a lot of attention: "Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995."
Uh, no, that's not what he said.
Don't take my word for it -- or the Daily Mail's -- in reporting what Jones has said. He has temporarily stepped down as the director of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia.
Read the entire interview Jones had recently with the BBC, which was the source for the Daily Mail's story.
Here's the key part of the interview regarding warming in recent years:
Question: "Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming?"
Jones: "Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods."
In other words, it has gotten warmer, despite what the deniers want to say.
And for good measure, here's another question and answer, verbatim:
"How confident are you that warming has taken place and that humans are mainly responsible?"
Jones: "I'm 100 percent confident that the climate has warmed. As to the second question, I would go along with IPCC Chapter 9 - there's evidence that most of the warming since the 1950s is due to human activity."